Tag:Projections
Posted on: June 1, 2010 9:36 am
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Weekly and Rest of Season Player Rankings

I posted a previous entry about our AccuScore projections and how we're using that data.  We've made an update to include weekly and rest of season player rankiings based on that information. 

You can get general rankings on our Fantasy News site by clicking here . Or better yet, you can get them specific to your league's scoring system by clicking the link under the Cover Story on your league homepage.  I'd post the link here, but it is specific to each league. 


Here is the description by our editorial team...

We've combined statistical projections from AccuScore with your specific scoring system to provide you with the most accurate rankings possible for your format. These rankings will be updated multiple times DAILY, taking into account matchups, past performance and news developments. You can choose to either view our rankings for the next seven days for immediate lineup advice or for the rest of the season to get a broader view of how we think each position might shake out for the remainder of the year.
Posted on: April 2, 2010 3:26 pm
 

Daily, Weekly, and Rest of Season Projections

I know it's been a while since I've updated the blog.  A lot has been going on that will make the site better that you all should start to see over the course of the next few months.  But in the meantime, we're adding a really cool feature for the start of Baseball season that we're hoping will add to your roster management experience.  We've partnered with AccuScore to bring you in-season projections for all of your Fantasy Baseball players.  In the past we've given you our own pre-season projections for every player.  And these are very useful in making decisions around drafting and pre-season pickups. But as the season wears on, we all know that things change.  So looking a pre-season projections becomes pretty useless after a point. 

AccuScore has a unique system, explained in detail here , but basically they simulate every play from every game 10,000 times to determine the best probability of what will happen.  Through this method, they will be feeding us daily, weekly, and "rest of season" projections for every player.  So, on your sortable stats pages, you'll now find selections for the projections for the upcoming day, scoring period, and a players projections for the rest of the season (or from that day on).  Also, on the player pages, you'll now see projected points for a player on the Fantasy Trend component for Head to Head leagues, and projected stats for a player in Roto leagues.  You'll also notice a 'Next 7' as an additional lineup view on your Set Lineup pages. 

So, as always, your feedback is welcome and encouraged.  It is the only way we'll know if this is useful for you and how we can make it even better.  We're excited about bringing you this additional data and hope it helps. 
Posted on: September 17, 2009 4:54 pm
 

Who is the Guru?

Throughout the years, we've had many incarnations of and therefore, questions about the Guru.  The Guru, as it was designed, was a formula that was supposed to give an indication of how well your player will perform in the upcoming week's football game.  It appears on every team's 'Set Lineup' page.  It used to take into account the player's past performance, some projections, injury status, and opponent.  We would tweak the actual formula from time to time.  It wasn't perfect, but we thought that it served its purpose. 

Our content team, including but not limited to Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenberg, apparently used to get some emails from readers who thought that they were the 'Guru' offering this advice. And when it didn't work out for that particular reader, those emails could get pretty nasty.  I guess those guys had just about enough of that when they came to us last year and said that if they were going to take flack from the readers that they at least wanted it to be based on their own weekly projections for each player so that they could defend their decisions.  It seemed like a daunting task, but they were up to the challenge. So now those Guru numbers you see on your Lineup page are the result of those guys projecting out a weekly stat line for each player.  Each site then applies those stats to your league's specific scoring system and spits out what your score would be with that stat line.  If you want to see the stats that go into your 'Guru' number, just click "Weekly Projections' at the top of your 'Set Lineup' table. 

Personally I'm still not sold on which way is better.  While it's nice to have a projected stat line on each player, it really puts pressure on thye football writers to have to determine which players are going to score TDs that particular week or not.  For instance, with the old system, because it was a formula, the number could be the result of an average number of TDs per game.  Say RB 'X' rushed for an average of 65 yards and had scored 3 TDs for the first 6 weeks of a season.  The formula might have projected that he would have 65 yards and .5 TDs that week - an average score of about 9 points.  With our content team projecting out a weekly stat line, they don't have the luxury of predicting out .5 (or half of a Touchdown).  So if they player has been averaging about 65 yards a week, they have to make the call between saying he'll score a TD which would put the player at about 12 points, or not scoring a TD which would put the player at about 6 points.  It's a pretty big difference.   Which do you prefer?  Think about it and let me know. 

Category: Fantasy Football
 
 
 
 
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